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Putin's Real Enemy? People Power

March 30, 2022

Putin's Real Enemy? People Power


Millions of refugees from historic cities, their treasures and livelihoods destroyed, have poured into neighboring European countries.  Schools, theaters, maternity hospitals, bread lines, and humanitarian corridors stretching for miles have all become targets.  Russians by the tens of thousands are fleeing their own country.  How did we get here?  

We got here because Russian Federation President Vladimir Putin weaponized personal grievances against NATO along with an imperial view of Russian history.  The brutality of the war reflects the level of his grievance.  Its geography reflects his mythology of the “Russian world” (Russkii mir).  Its real aim? Insulation from democratic ideas and institutions, which makes the invasion a human rights tragedy as much as a foreign policy crisis.  

Russia’s claim of a sphere of influence from the remains of the Soviet Union is really a wishful assertion of a sphere of insulation, or what is sometimes called “strategic depth.”  Putin has called NATO “the knife at our throat,” but NATO stands in for a deeper issue: the expansion of democracy, especially among young professionals in what was once the Soviet orbit.  They are smart, tech-savvy, cosmopolitan, and western-oriented.  Ukraine is exhibit A.  It’s one of the largest countries in Europe with a demographically and religiously diverse society.  It’s a functionally democratic Slavic nation, right on Putin’s doorstep, and it elected a globally popular leader to be president with 73% of the vote (free and fair).  And it has rich cultural traditions that predate Moscow’s.  The same could be said for many of the former Warsaw Pact nations.

This is about people power, something Putin can’t stop with an overwhelming show of force, and we are drawing inspiration from those suffering and resisting most right now.  
  
I was in the Soviet Union in August of 1991 when a coup against Gorbachev was launched.  Things looked bleak, but not for long.  It was only a matter of days until popular resistance thwarted the coup and hastened the demise of the empire.  I witnessed people power for the first time and drew inspiration from it.  Then came a lesson.

The emotion that comes with a popular movement is powerful and memorable, but it’s not enough.  Look at Russia and parts of eastern Europe now.  After the turbulent 1990s, Russia has been in the hands of an authoritarian for over two decades.  Emotion can’t sustain democracy; only the slow, steady, unglamorous work of instilling democratic ideas can.  Demonstrations can’t sustain democracy; only inclusive, representative institutions can.  

Whether in Ukraine or our own homeland, democracy is proved when tested.  Ukraine is proving it.  Let’s learn a thing or two from them.  

By: Scott Van Lingenfelter (Adjunct Professor of History)

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Page last modified March 30, 2022